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The market is accelerating to catch up, and market risk is increasing: Shandong Shenguang: Driven by heavyweight stocks such as petrochemicals, finance, and coal, the volume and price of the stock market rose this week. The Shanghai Composite Index broke through the 3000 point mark and showed an upward trend. The warrant market, which has been quiet for a long time, has reappeared fiercely. The volume of some stocks with the largest turnover in the two cities stagfled, consuming huge funds and aggravating the impetuousness of the market. We believe that the current market has entered an accelerated stage of catching up, the profit-making effect of individual stocks is concentrated on some individual stocks, the market risk continues to increase, and the operation should be more cautious.
The market in the fourth quarter can be up to 3600 points Guosen Securities: At present, the A-share market is in a stage of transition from rapid rise to slow rise. The valuation level is nearing the end. There is a consolidation requirement after the market rises in the third quarter. However, with the real economy and capital The market is picking up. It is expected that the Shanghai Composite Index will be optimistic in the fourth quarter, and it can reach 3600 points.
Short-term low-absorption high-quality varieties, focusing on blue-chip stock-based investment: active rotation between sectors, hot spot switching remains relatively fast. Finance, real estate, etc. led the index to the weight of 3,000. The blue chip entered a short-term retreat; coal, nonferrous metals, and oil resources have made a comeback; the hot spots such as medicine, commerce, and highways that have performed well in the past have continued to slump recently; while the ultra-falling aerospace military industry and new energy Wait for hot spots to expand. This shows that the short-term long-term momentum is still abundant, and the bulls' strength is still strong, which can continue to promote the blue chip sector to rise, thereby maintaining the index's steady rise. Therefore, we expect that there will still be room for rebound in the stock index in the later period. Even if adjustments are made in the short term, it is a normal consolidation requirement. Investors continue to use low-term thinking to appropriately absorb low-quality varieties, focusing on large-cap blue chips that did not rise much in the previous period and semi-annual report pre-increase Pre-profit or reverse loss varieties.
The market may face a mid-line adjustment to Ningbo Haishun: After the market has risen continuously, long funds have been relatively fatigued, and with the arrival of a large and small non-lifting peak, short funds are likely to make a comeback. Therefore, after the market has successfully exceeded 3000 points, or Will face midline adjustment.
Hot spot rotation has not changed, and the market is still strong. Beijing's first pass: The stock indexes of the two cities fluctuated higher due to the promotion of blue chip stocks. On the whole, the current hot spot rotation pattern in the market has not changed, and the market is still in a strong position. Before, investors should seize the main line of the current strong market and follow the trend.